Please upgrade your browser for the best Refinery29 experience. Read more.

Saved! Access Favorites in your account profile. Removed from my favorites

You May Not Like The Latest Election Prediction

comments
Photo: Getty Images.
We've still got about a week and a half left before Election Day, but artificial intelligence has spoken. MogIA, which analyses data from Google, Twitter, and Facebook, predicts that Donald Trump will win when votes are cast on November 8.

According to CNBC, MogIA accurately predicted the previous three presidential elections, and found that Trump has more public engagement — a number gathered by looking at Facebook Live and Twitter — than Obama did in 2008. This is concerning, yes, but it's hard not to doubt the AI's finding.

As MogAI founder Sanjiv Rai told CNBC, engagement does not equal support. Given how many of Trump's statements incite strong public opinions on social media, what people are posting is not necessarily positive. And MogAI cannot take that into account when making its prediction.

Plus, Unanimous A.I., which has correctly predicted winners from events like the Oscars and the Kentucky Derby, came to a different conclusion in June. Its AI uses something called "Swarm Intelligence," a measure of a randomly selected group of people, to conclude who will come out on top. It predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the election.

Then, there's the fact that polls of humans still show Clinton in the lead.

Of course, no poll, regardless of whether it's done by technology or people, can 100% predict what will happen come Election Day. Who will vote? Could something happen in the coming days that will sway peoples' opinions one way or another? The only thing you can do: Show up on November 8 and make your voice heard by casting your ballot.

SHARE
TWEET
EMAIL